Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000377 0.000423 0.000473 0.000532 0.000598 0.000672 0.000759
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000295 0.000361 0.000440 0.000541 0.000668 0.000822 0.001026
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000233 0.000303 0.000393 0.000517 0.000685 0.000905 0.001219
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000200 0.000274 0.000374 0.000520 0.000729 0.001023 0.001472
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000182 0.000261 0.000373 0.000543 0.000803 0.001187 0.001811
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000159 0.000237 0.000350 0.000532 0.000821 0.001270 0.002041
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000137 0.000210 0.000321 0.000506 0.000811 0.001307 0.002197
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000126 0.000199 0.000314 0.000512 0.000852 0.001430 0.002517
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000120 0.000196 0.000318 0.000537 0.000928 0.001619 0.002982
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000109 0.000182 0.000305 0.000529 0.000945 0.001707 0.003274
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000102 0.000174 0.000298 0.000533 0.000982 0.001837 0.003665
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000094 0.000164 0.000287 0.000526 0.000999 0.001929 0.003994
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000088 0.000158 0.000283 0.000535 0.001049 0.002096 0.004522
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000151 0.000278 0.000540 0.001092 0.002259 0.005075
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000138 0.000259 0.000515 0.001071 0.002281 0.005309
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000132 0.000254 0.000518 0.001108 0.002437 0.005897
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000131 0.000258 0.000542 0.001194 0.002719 0.006856
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000123 0.000247 0.000530 0.001199 0.002809 0.007333
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000113 0.000230 0.000504 0.001166 0.002801 0.007539
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000109 0.000228 0.000510 0.001212 0.002999 0.008371
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000110 0.000233 0.000535 0.001307 0.003340 0.009704
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000104 0.000225 0.000527 0.001319 0.003461 0.010389
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000101 0.000222 0.000531 0.001361 0.003671 0.011408